All eyes are on Tuesday's showdown in Massachusetts
I find your lack of win disturbing.Things aren't looking good for Democrats in Massachusetts. Republican state Sen. Scott Brown leads Democrat Attorney General Martha Coakley in the latest polls, 52 to 45 percent. Both are vying for Ted Kennedy's vacant seat in the U.S. Senate by way of a special election on Tuesday. Most had dismissed the election, figuring Coakley to be a shoo-in. Sure, the poll has a sampling error of four percentage points and is -- after all -- a poll, but the fact of the matter is not one poll has shown Coakley ahead in the last few days.
With Democrats' slim filibuster-proof, 60-seat Senate majority, Ted Kennedy's open seat is paramount. If Brown wins, his victory would derail the Democrat's healthcare reform and likely any left-leaning legislation over the next few years. Brown has sworn to oppose Obama's healthcare reform. "Massachusetts wants real reform and not this trillion-dollar Obama health care that is being forced on the American people," he said. "As the 41st [Republican] senator I will make sure that we do it better."
Ted Kennedy's widow, Vicki Kennedy, has called upon Massachusetts Democrats to come out to vote and defend her husband's legacy. "We need your help. We need your support," Kennedy said. "We need you to get out there and vote on Tuesday. We need you to bring your neighbors. We need you to bring your friends."
Both President Obama and former President Bill Clinton have recently campaigned for Coakley in Massachusetts.
If Coakley loses this election, it will be her own fault for running such a lackadaisical campaign. Unless you run every campaign scared, then you're setting yourself up for a loss. Massachusetts has a strong Independent contingent and, right now, many of them are disenchanted with Obama and Senate Democrats. Coakley needs to make the case that if Democrats don't hold on to their 60-vote majority then healthcare reform is dead, period. Republicans keep talking about starting over to generate "real" healthcare reform. That won't happen, not for any foreseeable future. The Senate is like a large, wooly behemoth -- content to sit there idly inside its cave like a troll. Democrats have managed to poke and prod it enough so that it has stood up and is now slowly lumbering toward the cave's entrance. If Brown wins, the behemoth will turn about and reassume its position of inactivity.
Republicans don't have the power to pass healthcare reform, but they do have the power to stop it dead in its tracks if they win this seat. Even if they could pass something, because of Republicans' deep faith in the free market and corporations, their reform will likely not properly check the healthcare insurance industry.
Democrats do have a few contingency plans if Martha Coakley fails to win Kennedy's seat. None of them are any good.
A) Force the bill down the public's throat by passing it during the 2-week interim while Paul Kirk -- Kennedy's, friend, former aid, and current interim senator -- still holds the seat. This would create nothing less than public rancor. People would be understandably appalled with Democrats and blue-seats would be lost later this year.
B) Pass the Senate's healthcare bill as written. That way, the Senate wouldn't re-enter debate on the bill. The current Senate bill does not contain a public option. Other Democratic sources have said this course of action is unlikely since House Speaker Nancy Pelosi would likely not be able to pass the Senate's bill in the House.
C) Use the process of reconciliation to pass the bill with a simple 51-vote majority in the Senate. Unfortunately this creates technical and procedural issues that would delay final passage for a long time.
It should now be apparent that much hangs upon the outcome of tomorrow night's showdown. Massachusetts Democrats should feel ashamed if they manage to lose Kennedy's seat. No Republican has won a U.S. Senate race in that state since 1972. So, here's my message to Martha Coakley, "You must not fail."
healthcare,
martha coakley,
scott brown,
senate,
ted kennedy 








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